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How long do hard drives actually live for For more than 3. It has been a complex and sometimes torturous relationship, but theres no denying the huge role that hard drives have played in the growth and popularization of PCs, and more recently in the rapid expansion of online and cloud storage. Given our exceedingly heavy reliance on hard drives, its very, very weird that one piece of vital information still eludes us How long does a hard drive last Now, before you all rush to the comments section to tell me how long your hard drives have lasted, Im not talking anecdotally. I mean, in hard numbers, just how long does the average hard drive last One year Three Five Because the standard warranty is now only 1. If I slot a new hard drive in today, how long can I expect it to last Surprisingly, despite hard drives underpinning almost every aspect of modern computing until smartphones, no one has ever carried out a study on the longevity of hard drives or at least, no one has ever published results from such a study. Until now. Backblaze, an unlimited online backup company that keeps 2. How long does a hard drive last Backblaze has kept up to 2. Every time a drive fails, they note it down, then slot in a replacement. After four years, Backblaze now has some amazing data and graphs that detail the failure rate of hard drives over the first four years of their life. Backblaze hard drive failure rate, over the first four years. It seems that hard drives have three distinct failure phases. In the first phase, which lasts 1. For the next 1. 5 years, the annual failure rate drops to 1. Program Pemeliharaan. After three years, the failure rate explodes to 1. In short, this means that around 9. Extrapolating from these figures, just under 8. Backblaze doesnt have figures beyond that, but its distinguished engineer, Brian Beach, speculates that the failure rate will probably stick to around 1. This means that 5. Hard drive failure conforms to the bathtub curve a curve that reliability engineers use that neatly illustrates the three distinct phases of a products lifecycle. Why hard drives die. There are three distinct failure phases and, correspondingly, three distinct ways in which hard drives die. Failures in the first year are primarily caused by manufacturing defects. This describes the lemon effect where, despite most of your drive live for years, some just die after a few months. Between 1. 8 and 3. Then, as the drive moves into its fourth year, failure rates skyrocket as drives start to wear out the various components can only rotate, gyrate, and actuate so many times before something goes sprronngggg. Its worth noting that Backblaze uses normal, consumer level drives the kind of drives with 1. Considering around 9. Hard drive failure rate, by quarter, for the first four years. In the case of enterprise class hard drives with five year warranties, they are probably manufactured to higher tolerances and subjected to more stringent quality assurance testing. Were only guessing here, but enterprise class drives probably dont have the same year one infant mortality rate, but still die off fairly quickly once their moving parts start to wear out 4 years. In conclusion back up your dataSo, there you have it If you buy a hard drive today, theres a 9. If your drive makes it to the three year point, you would be wise to back up your data, as theres a 1. Its worth noting that these figures are for internal hard drives External hard drives, for a large number of factors, may not last as long though if you only plug it in every few days to back your data up, it might last longer. Its also worth mentioning that Backblazes drives are spinning constantly these failure rates are for drives that are turned on 2. Your home computer probably isnt powered up 2. Because theres a 5. After 3. 6 months, though, you should definitely back up your data, or copy the data to a new hard drive. Backblaze, at 5month for unlimited backup space, is a remarkably good deal. Backblaze says it will continue to update its data as the years go by, so that we can see if the failure rate indeed stays the same after the four year mark. Of course, the other statistic were interested in is the failure rate of solid state drives but I imagine itll still be a few years until one company has enough SSDs to give us a good idea of the failure rate of NAND flash. Now read How a hard drive works.